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2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas

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2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas

← 2024 November 3, 2026 2028 →

All 38 Texas seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 25 13

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from all thirty-eight of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will take place on March 3, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections will take place on May 26.[1]

Redistricting

[edit]

On July 9, 2025, the Texas State Government announced that during a planned Special Session on July 21 of this year, it will tackle mid-decade redistricting. This has been pushed privately by the White House to help Republicans keep control of the House in 2026 and critics have labeled it a gerrymander.[2][3]

On August 20, 2025, the Texas State House passed congressional maps that would target five Democratic-held seats. The vote was 88–52, a party-line vote. The new map changes the territory of Democratic representatives Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, Lloyd Doggett, Julie Johnson, and Al Green.[4] On August 23, 2025, the Texas State Senate passed the map with a vote 18–8. Governor Greg Abbott has signed the map into law, and therefore will be the active map used in the 2026 House elections in Texas.

On November 18, 2025, a federal court blocked Texas from using its newly drawn congressional map in next year’s midterms, ruling that the map is likely an unconstitutional "racial gerrymander".[5] Three days later on November 21, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito granted the request by the state to pause the court's ruling that reverts the election back to using the maps drawn in 2021. The pause is until the Supreme Court of the United States makes its decision on the ruling from November 18.[6][7]

Map of Texas's congressional districts since 2023
Interactive map version
Map of Texas's congressional districts, as passed by the Governor of Texas on August 29, 2025, struck down by court on November 18, 2025[8]

District 1

[edit]

The 1st district encompasses Tyler, Longview, and Texarkana. The incumbent is Republican Nathaniel Moran, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Troy McCullough, logistics professional[11]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nathaniel Moran (R) $797,457 $508,251 $670,152
Source: Federal Election Commission[12]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Dax Alexander, software developer[13]
  • Tracy Andrus, nonprofit founder[14]
  • Masika Ray, realtor[15]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Masika Ray (D) $7,565 $6,418 $1,147
Source: Federal Election Commission[12]

Third-party candidates and Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Sonia Canchola (Independent)[18]
  • Michael Morton (Independence Party)[19]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 2

[edit]

The 2nd district encompasses The Woodlands, Spring, Kingwood, Humble, and Atascocita. The incumbent is Republican Dan Crenshaw, who was re-elected with 65.7% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Thomas Manning, sales manager[26]
  • N. Lee Plumb, retail manager[27]
  • Nick Tran, businessman[28]
  • KrisiAnn Zolari, realtor[29]

Potential

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]
  • Jameson Ellis, marketing executive and candidate for this district in 2022 and 2024[32]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Crenshaw (R) $1,244,956 $1,045,616 $668,647
Martin Etwop (R) $7,756 $5,202 $161
Steve Toth (R) $303,459 $47,978 $255,480
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dan
Crenshaw
Martin
Etwop
Thomas
Manning
Nicholas
Plumb
Steve
Toth
KrisiAnn
Zolari
Undecided
Meeting Street Research[34] October 21–23, 2025 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 1% 2% 1% 19% 2% 25%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Shaun Finnie, investment banker[35]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Shaunn Finnie (D) $1,391,101 $154,341 $1,236,759
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 3

[edit]

The 3rd district encompasses much of Collin County and Hunt County. The incumbent is Republican Keith Self, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Keith Self
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Keith Self (R) $249,448 $94,253 $264,536
Source: Federal Election Commission[38]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Jordan Wheatley, behavior health technician[40]

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Evan Hunt (D) $190,567 $125,499 $65,068
Jordan Wheatley (D) $20,611 $20,299 $312
Source: Federal Election Commission[38]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 4

[edit]

The 4th district encompasses counties along the Red River, as well as some sections of the suburban and exurban DFW Metroplex. The incumbent is Republican Pat Fallon, who was re-elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Pat Fallon (R) $285,878 $179,554 $766,402
Source: Federal Election Commission[41]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Brice Gonzales, sale executive[42]
  • Jason Pearce, construction project manager[43]
  • Andrew Rubell, career counselor[44]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 5

[edit]

The 5th district encompasses Mesquite, Anderson, Cherokee, Henderson, Van Zandt, and Kaufman. The incumbent is Republican Lance Gooden, who was re-elected with 64.1% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Travis Edwards, farmer[45]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lance Gooden (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lance Gooden (R) $623,437 $294,496 $1,046,298
Source: Federal Election Commission[46]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Chelsey Hockett, stay-at-home mom[47]
  • Ruth Torres, HR consultant and nominee for this district in 2024[48]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chelsey Hockett (D) $2,605 $0 $2,605
Ruth Torres (D) $0 $275 $88
Source: Federal Election Commission[46]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 6

[edit]

The 6th district encompasses Ellis County and Palestine. The incumbent is Republican Jake Ellzey, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jake Ellzey (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Buford (R) $10,021 $10,000 $56
Jake Ellzey (R) $2,473,297 $1,362,396 $2,206,348
Brian Stahl (R) $90,285 $50,062 $40,223
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Danny Minton, sales representative[52]
  • Aiden Shotwell-Morgan, writer[53]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Danny Minton (D) $2,778 $1,215 $1,563
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 7

[edit]

The 7th district encompasses the suburbs of Houston such as Gulfton and Alief. The incumbent is Democrat Lizzie Fletcher, who was re-elected with 61.2% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lizzie Fletcher (D) $729,506 $326,348 $1,719,820
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Republican primary

[edit]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]
  • Tina Blum Cohen, furniture company owner and candidate for this district in 2022 and 2024[62]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 8

[edit]

The 8th district includes northern suburbs and exurbs of Houston such as Conroe and Willis. The incumbent is Republican Morgan Luttrell, who was elected with 68.2% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Brett Jensen, businessman[63]
  • Jessica Steinmann, attorney[64]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jay Fondren, nonprofit official[65]
  • Nick Tran, businessman[66]
  • Deddrick Wilmer, mortage broker[67]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jessica Steinmann
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jessica Steinmann (R) $627,225 $9,473 $617,752
Nick Tran (R) $118,063 $106,101 $11,962
Deddrick Wilmer (R) $46,032 $26,396 $19,636
Source: Federal Election Commission[71]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Keith Coleman (D) $20 $0 $20
Laura Jones (D) $1,083 $1,178 $2,406
Source: Federal Election Commission[71]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Likely R November 19, 2025

District 9

[edit]

The 9th district encompasses the southern Houston suburbs such as Missouri City. Prior to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Al Green; however, Green was drawn out of the 9th district and into the 18th.[9] Due to the court's ruling as "racially unconstitutional", Green was reinstated back into the 9th district and is running for re-election.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Earnest Clayton, public health professional[75]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Al Green, incumbent U.S. representative (running in the 18th district)[76]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jaimy Blanco, real estate investor[83]
  • Terry Thain, railcar terminal operations manager[84]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Briscoe Cain
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 34 state representatives[b]
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Alexandra del Moral Mealer

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Briscoe
Cain
Alexandra del
Moral Mealer
Dan
Mims
Dwayne
Stovall
Other Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[86][A] October 21–23, 2025 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 37% 16% 3% 3% 2%[c] 40%

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jaimy Blanco (R) $0 $0 $1,018
Briscoe Cain (R) $274,020 $7,516 $266,504
Alex Mealer (R) $615,834 $53,506 $562,328
Dan Mims (R) $212,312 $2,760 $209,552
Source: Federal Election Commission[87]

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Roy Morales, retired USAF lieutenant colonel[88]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R (flip) August 23, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R (flip) August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R (flip) August 29, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Lean R (flip) October 11, 2025

District 10

[edit]

The 10th district stretches from northwestern Austin to Bryan–College Station. The incumbent is Republican Michael McCaul, who was re-elected in with 63.6% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Chris Gober, attorney[81]
  • Jessica Karlsruher, lobbyist (previously filed to run in the 21st district)[89]
  • Kara King, mayor of Bee Cave[69]
  • Scott MacLeod, U.S. Army veteran[90]
  • Philip Suarez, realtor[91]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Rob Brown, pastor[92]
  • Brandon Hawbraker[93]
  • Chris Hurt, army veteran[94]
  • Ross Lovell[95]
  • Carl Segan[96]
  • Jenny Garcia Sharon, volunteer caregiver[97]

Declined

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Javi Andrade, cyber security specialist[100]
  • Tayhlor Coleman, political strategist[101]
  • Dawn Marshall, college professor[102]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tayhlor Coleman (D) $65,605 $62,305 $3,300
Source: Federal Election Commission[103]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Likely R October 11, 2025

District 11

[edit]

The 11th district is based in midwestern Texas, including Lamesa, Midland, Odessa, San Angelo, Granbury, and Brownwood. The incumbent is Republican August Pfluger, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
August Pfluger (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
August Pfulger (R) $1,851,015 $1,267,169 $2,907,951
Source: Federal Election Commission[104]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Pedro Ruiz, mental health counselor and Marine veteran[105]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 12

[edit]

The 12th district is in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, and takes in Parker County and western Tarrant County, including parts of Fort Worth and its inner suburbs of North Richland Hills, Saginaw, and Haltom City. The incumbent is Republican Craig Goldman, who was elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Brian Sprague, entrepreneur[106]
  • Semaj Swire, accountant[107]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]
  • James Broadwater, scriptwriter[108]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Craig Goldman (R) $709,377 $388,998 $856,276
Source: Federal Election Commission[109]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera, nonprofit executive director and U.S. Army veteran[110]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera (D) $1,092 $1,651 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[109]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 13

[edit]

The 13th district encompasses most of the Texas Panhandle, containing the cities of Amarillo, Gainesville and Wichita Falls, as well as northern Denton County. The incumbent is Republican Ronny Jackson, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Chasity Wedgeworth, business owner[111]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ronny Jackson (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ronny Jackson (R) $1,744,521 $852,210 $4,294,259
Source: Federal Election Commission[112]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mark Nair (D) $7,547 $5,802 $1,845
Source: Federal Election Commission[112]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 14

[edit]

The 14th district takes in the southern and southeastern region of Greater Houston, including Galveston, Jefferson County and southern Brazoria County. The incumbent is Republican Randy Weber, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jessica Forgy, preschool teacher[114]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jessica Forgy (R) $3,000 $380 $3,620
Randy Weber (R) $558,528 $239,639 $939,462
Source: Federal Election Commission[115]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Richard Davis[118]
  • Konstantinos Vogiatzis, accountant[119]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 15

[edit]

The 15th district stretches from western Hidalgo County in the Rio Grande Valley, northward into rural counties in the Greater San Antonio area. The incumbent is Republican Monica De La Cruz, who was re-elected with 57.1% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Monica De La Cruz (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Monica De La Cruz (R) $2,460,228 $$1,358,583 $1,715,615
Source: Federal Election Commission[120]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bobby Pulido
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ada Cuellar (D) $249,609 $120,104 $129,505
Bobby Pulido (D) $306,804 $32,469 $274,335
Source: Federal Election Commission[120]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Likely R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Likely R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Likely R November 19, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Likely R October 11, 2025

Polling

[edit]

Monica De La Cruz vs. Bobby Pulido

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Monica De
La Cruz (R)
Bobby
Pulido (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[124][B] September 10–11, 2025 533 (LV) 41% 38% 21%

District 16

[edit]

The 16th district is entirely within El Paso County, taking in El Paso, Horizon City, and Anthony. The incumbent is Democrat Veronica Escobar, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Veronica Escobar (D) $510,139 $310,046 $315,937
Source: Federal Election Commission[126]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Adam Bauman[127]
  • Deliris Montanez Berrios, retired army officer[128]
  • Gavin Solomon, businessman from New York[129]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deliris Montanez Berrios (R) $4,598 $5,261 $561
Source: Federal Election Commission[126]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 17

[edit]

The 17th district covers parts of suburban north Austin stretching to rural central and eastern Texas, including Waco and Lufkin. The incumbent is Republican Pete Sessions, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Pete Sessions (R) $455,405 $219,978 $676,363
Source: Federal Election Commission[131]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jamilah Flores, nonprofit professional[132]
  • James Gordon Mitchell, former school board trustee[133]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Gordon Mitchell (D) $5,033 $4,753 $280
Source: Federal Election Commission[131]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 18

[edit]

Due to redistricting, the district has two incumbents: Democrat Al Green, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024, and an incumbent undecided due to former Congressman Sylvester Turner's death, which will be determined in a special election occurring in 2025.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Al Green (D) $582,145 $228,593 $572,637
Source: Federal Election Commission[87]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 19

[edit]

The 19th district encompasses rural West Texas, taking in Lubbock and Abilene. The incumbent is Republican Jodey Arrington, who was re-elected with 80.7% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Abraham Enriquez, outreach group founder[136]
  • Tom Sell, businessman[137]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]

Potential

[edit]
  • Kody Bessent, CEO of Plains Cotton Growers[139]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Source: Federal Election Commission[142]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kyle Rable (D) $7,800 $5,655 $2,145
Source: Federal Election Commission[142]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 20

[edit]

The 20th district encompasses downtown San Antonio. The incumbent is Democrat Joaquin Castro, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joaquin Castro (D) $249,639 $211,169 $177,127
Source: Federal Election Commission[146]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Edgardo Baez, attorney[147]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Edgardo Baez (R) $21,233 $7,890 $13,342
Source: Federal Election Commission[146]

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Anthony Tristan, Democratic candidate for the 27th district in 2022 and 2024[148]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 21

[edit]

The 21st district extends from north San Antonio to central and south Austin, taking in rural parts of the Texas Hill Country. The incumbent is Republican Chip Roy, who was elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Daniel Betts, attorney and district attorney candidate in 2024[155]
  • Jacques DuBose, former Boerne city councilman[156]
  • Denis Goulet[157]
  • Weston Martinez, businessman[158]
  • Matt Okerson, cybersecurity consultant[159]
  • Paul Rojas[160]
  • Heather Tessmer, attorney[161]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Daniel Betts (R) $111,868 $6,879 $104,989
Jason Cahill (R) $283,283 $1,337 $281,946
Zeke Enriquez (R) $50,150 $44,963 $814.58
Mark Teixeira (R) $713,852 $17,470 $696,382.
Michael Wheeler (R) $202,126 $609 $201,516
Source: Federal Election Commission[163]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Javi Andrade, cybersecurity analyst[165]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Javi Andrade (D) $742 $0 $742
Gary Taylor (D) $14,651 $9,250 $5,401
Regina Vanburg (D) $908 $32 $876
Daniel Weber (D) $2,371 $37 $2,335
Source: Federal Election Commission[163]

Independents

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Likely R October 11, 2025

District 22

[edit]

The 22nd district encompasses the south-central Greater Houston metropolitan area, including the southern Houston suburbs of Sugar Land, Pearland, and Webster. The incumbent is Republican Troy Nehls, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Troy Nehls (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Troy Nehls (R) $296,891 $303,361 $282,608
Source: Federal Election Commission[167]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]

Third-party candidates

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Demile James (American Independent Party), HR recruiter[170]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marguette Greene-Scott (D) $15,940 $6,298 $9,678
Source: Federal Election Commission[167]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 23

[edit]

The 23rd district covers southwestern Texas, including the Big Bend, the southern and western San Antonio suburbs, and the southwestern El Paso suburbs. The incumbent is Republican Tony Gonzales, who was re-elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]
  • Kyle Sinclair, former vice chair of the Bexar County Republican Party, candidate for the 28th district in 2024 and nominee for the 20th district in 2022 (running in the 21st district)[172]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tony Gonzales (R) $1,508,587 $463,894 $2,503,679
Brandon Herrera (R) $307,271 $9,220 $306,091
Source: Federal Election Commission[178]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tony
Gonzales
Brandon
Herrera
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[179] October 31 – November 1, 2025 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 40% 35% 24%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Santos Limon, civil engineer and nominee for this district in 2024[180]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Gretel Enck, community organizer and writer[181]
  • Diego Lopez, teacher[182]
  • Katy Padilla Stout, attorney[183]
  • Bruce Richardson[184]
  • Peter White[180]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gretel Enck (D) $5,000 $0 $5,000
Santos Limon (D) $356,755 $6,815 $349,940
Source: Federal Election Commission[178]

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 24

[edit]

The 24th district encompasses the suburbs north of Fort Worth and Dallas, including Grapevine, Bedford, and Park Cities. Due to redistricting, the district has two incumbents, Republican Beth Van Duyne, who was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2024, and Democrat Julie Johnson, who was elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Beth Van Duyne (R) $1,400,181 $733,163 $2,627,890
Source: Federal Election Commission[186]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Nathan Hawks, accountant[187]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jon Buchwald, educator and entrepreneur[188]
  • Kevin Burge, IT security specialist[189]
  • Aaron Hendley, fast food worker and former janitor[190]
  • TJ Ware, entrepreneur[191]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jon Buchwald (D) $116,302 $35,690 $80,611
Kevin Burge (D) $57,853 $33,016 $24,837
Nathan Hawks (D) $19,134 $12,344 $6,790
Aaron Hendley (D) $6 $0 $6
Julie Johnson (D) $531,094 $253,456 $508,542
TJ Ware (D) $25,802 $16,694 $9,108
Source: Federal Election Commission[186]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 25

[edit]

The 25th district runs from Arlington out to rural exurbs of southern Fort Worth such as Granbury. Due to redistricting, the district has two incumbents, Republican Roger Williams, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024, and Democrat Marc Veasey, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Roger Williams (R) $875,576 $417,433 $1,029,644
Source: Federal Election Commission[193]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Stephen O'Toole, Navy intelligence veteran[195]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
William Marks (D) $53,494 $9,471 $44,022
Stephen O'Toole (D) $0 $320 $214
Marc Veasey (D) $390,333 $556,218 $843,596
Source: Federal Election Commission[193]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 26

[edit]

The 26th district is based in the northern portion of the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, centering on eastern Denton County and including Cooke County and parts of Wise County. The incumbent is Republican Brandon Gill, who was elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Gavin Solomon, businessman from New York[197]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brandon Gill
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brandon Gill (R) $1,238,209 $597,550 $768,482
Source: Federal Election Commission[198]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Ernest Lineberger, industrial engineer and nominee for this district in 2024[199]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Steven Shook, nurse practitioner[200]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ernest Lineberger (D) $59,745 $47,644 $15,594
Steven Shook (D) $2,696 $0 $2,696
Source: Federal Election Commission[198]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 27

[edit]

The 27th district stretches across the Coastal Bend, from Corpus Christi up to Bay City. The incumbent is Republican Michael Cloud, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Chris Hatley, retired army colonel[201]
  • Brandon Hawmaker[202]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Cloud (R) $533,456 $381,017 $289,317
Brandon Hawmaker (R) $5,124 $2,775 $2,349
Source: Federal Election Commission[203]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Tanya Lloyd, teacher and nominee for this district in 2024[204]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tanya Lloyd (D) $42,850 $23,638 $19,40o
Source: Federal Election Commission[203]

Third parties and independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 28

[edit]

The 28th district is based in the Laredo area and stretches north of the Rio Grande Valley into east San Antonio. The incumbent is Democrat Henry Cuellar, who was re-elected with 52.8% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Ryan Trevino, mental healthcare professional[77]
  • Ricardo Villarreal[207]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Henry Cuellar (D) $867,164 $550,781 $364,342
Source: Federal Election Commission[208]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Gavin Solomon, businessman[209]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Juan Esparza, law clerk[77]
  • Josh Cortez, former advisor to U.S. representative Monica De La Cruz (running in the 35th district)[77]
  • Mayra Flores, former U.S. representative from the 34th district (2022–2023)[212] (running in the 34th district)[213]
  • Jay Furman, physician and nominee for this district in 2024[214] (running in the 35th district)[141]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jay Furman (R) $116,376 $102,072 $19,227
Source: Federal Election Commission[208]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Tossup August 23, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Tilt D August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball Tossup August 29, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Tossup October 11, 2025

District 29

[edit]

The 29th district encompasses parts of northern and southeastern Houston, taking in the heavily Latino areas of the city. The incumbent is Democrat Sylvia Garcia, who was re-elected with 65.2% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jarvis Johnson, former state representative from the 139th district (2016–2025)[215]
  • Robert Slater, restaurant owner[216]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sylvia Garcia (D) $405,896 $375,602 $402,048
Source: Federal Election Commission[222]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 30

[edit]

The 30th district encompasses Downtown Dallas as well as South Dallas. Prior to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Jasmine Crockett; however, Crockett was drawn out of the 30th district and into the 33rd.Due to the court's ruling as "racially unconstitutional", Crockett was reinstated back into the 30th district and is running for re-election.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Saul Rodriguez, restaurant owner[223]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Rodney LaBruce, pastor[224]
  • Saul Rodriguez[225]
  • Oscar Villar, military intelligence officer[226]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jasmine Crockett (D) $6,560,239 $3,570,881 $4,600,592
Rodney Labruce (D) $1,075 $644 $398
Source: Federal Election Commission[231]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Sholdon Daniels, attorney[232]
  • Gregor Heise, veteran[233]
  • Everett Jackson, business owner[234]
  • Cody Nickson, businessman[235]
  • Stephani Reazor, nurse[236]
  • Mike Vivroux, cashier[237]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sholdon Daniels (R) $100,079 $62,819 $37,260
Gregor Heise (R) $13,077 $8,472 $4,605
Source: Federal Election Commission[231]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 31

[edit]

The 31st district encompasses the exurbs of Austin to Temple, including parts of Williamson and Bell counties. The incumbent is Republican John Carter, who was re-elected with 64.5% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Carter (R) $631,635 $254,526 $418,548
Steve Dowell (R) $14,744 $4,669 $10,075
Valentina Gomez (R) $27,757 $9,451 $12,406
Raymond Hamden (R) $128,296 $7,250 $120,696
Michael Williams (R) $0 $0 $68,408
Source: Federal Election Commission[245]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Justin Early, cybersecurity architect, veteran[246]
  • Caitlin Rourk, marketing employee[247]
  • Brian Trautner, audio and video producer[248]
  • Stuart Whitlow, attorney and nominee for this district in 2024[249]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Justin Early (D) $48,161 $43,507 $4,654
Caitlin Rourk (D) $100,220 $77,799 $22,430
Stuart Whitlow (D) $32,055 $20,706 $15,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[245]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 32

[edit]

The 32nd district covers northern and eastern Dallas and its inner northern suburbs. Prior to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Julie Johnson; however, Johnson was drawn out of the 32nd district and into the 24th.[9] Due to the court's ruling as "racially unconstitutional", Johnson was reinstated back into the 32nd district and is running for re-election.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Julie Johnson (not declared)
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Alex Cornwallis (D) $58,931 $104,350 $0
Julie Johnson (D) $960,041 $384,047 $806,897
Source: Federal Election Commission[252]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ryan Binkley
Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ryan
Binkley
Darrell
Day
Katrina
Pierson
Will
Douglas
Undecided
Stratus Intellegence (R)[257] September 24–26, 2025 411 (LV) 4% 9% 15% 5% 68%

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ryan Binkley (R) $1,066,017 $104,639 $961,378
Aimee Carrasco (R) $34,025 $29,457 $4,568
Darrell Day (R) $47,474 $3,164 $133,644
Monty Montanez (R) $25,148 $20,733 $4,415
Eric Niehaus (R) $35,139 $18,762 $16,377
Zain Shaito (R) $8,988 $0 $8,988
Source: Federal Election Commission[252]

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R (flip) August 23, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R (flip) August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R (flip) August 29, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Likely R (flip) October 11, 2025

District 33

[edit]

The 33rd district is in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, encompassing Downtown Fort Worth, western Dallas, and parts of Grand Prairie, Irving, Carrollton, and Farmers Branch. Prior to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Marc Veasey. However, Veasey was drawn out of the 33rd district and into the 25th. The new incumbent is Democrat Jasmine Crockett, who was elected with 84.9% of the vote in 2024.[9] Due to the court's ruling as "racially unconstitutional", Veasey was reinstated back into the 33rd district and is running for re-election.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Announcement pending

[edit]
  • Julie Johnson, incumbent U.S. representative from the 24th district (if redistricting is not overturned)[227]

Formed exploratory committee

[edit]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marc Veasey (D) $661,999 $741,250 $930,230
Source: Federal Election Commission[261]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Payton Jackson, credit specialist and Fort Worth city council candidate in 2025[262]
  • Kurt Schwab, marketing consultant[263]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kurt Schwab (R) $3,955 $2,954 $1,001
Source: Federal Election Commission[261]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 34

[edit]

The 34th district stretches from McAllen and Brownsville in the Rio Grande Valley, northward along the Gulf Coast. The incumbent is Democrat Vicente Gonzalez, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Etienne Rosas, public policy analyst[264]

Endorsements

[edit]
Vicente Gonzalez

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Vicente Gonzalez (D) $1,301,352 $312,793 $1,270,619
Etienne Rosas (D) $16,920 $7,229 $9,691
Source: Federal Election Commission[267]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Keith Allen, retail manager[77]
  • Luis Buentello, lobbyist[271]
  • Mauro Garza, nightclub owner and perennial candidate[77]
  • Greg Kunkle, musician and candidate for this district in 2022 and Texas[77]
  • Charles Mandel, businessman[272]
  • Bam Morales[273] 
  • Jay Nagy, thermal hardware engineer[274]

Endorsements

[edit]
Eric Flores

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Eric
Flores
Mayra
Flores
Other Undecided
1892 Polling (R)[276] 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 5% 38% 7%[e] 51%

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Keith Allen (R) $114,514 $86,811 $28,648
Eric Flores (R) $550,479 $113,400 $437,079
Mayra Flores (R) $764,148 $774,959 $148,010
Mauro Garza (R) $12,502 $12,659 $0
Charles Mandel (R) $1,000,000 $0 $1,000,135
Bam Morales (R) $16,335 $16,335 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[267]

Green primary

[edit]
  • Eddie Espinoza, teacher and candidate for railroad commission in 2024[277]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Lean R (flip) August 23, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Tossup August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Tossup November 19, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Tossup October 11, 2025

District 35

[edit]

The 35th district connects eastern San Antonio to southeastern Austin, through the I-35 corridor. Prior to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Greg Casar; however, Casar was drawn out of the 35th district and into the 37th.[9] On August 25, 2025, Greg Casar announced he would not seek re-election to this district instead run for new 37th district due to Republicans' gerrymandering in Texas.[278] Due to the court's ruling as "racially unconstitutional", Casar was reinstated back into the 35th district and is running for re-election.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Potential

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Greg Casar, incumbent U.S. representative (running in the 37th district)[283]

Declined

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Lira (D) $29,619 $5,371 $24,249
Whitney Masterson-Moyes (D) $43,057 $11,053 $32,004
Source: Federal Election Commission[285]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Publicly expressed interest

[edit]

Potential

[edit]
  • Cassy Garcia, former congressional aide and nominee for the 28th district in 2022[77]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Carlos De La Cruz
U.S. representatives
John Lujan
Local officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Josh Cortez (R) $160,434 $52,542 $107,892
Ryan Krause (R) $59,151 $12,946 $43,969
John Lujan (R) $75,584 $5,388 $70,196
Lauren Peña (R) $2,509 $1,814 $695
Steven Wright (R) $8,375 $879 $25,146
Source: Federal Election Commission[285]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Likely R (flip) August 23, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Likely R (flip) August 28, 2025
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[22] Likely R (flip) August 29, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Tilt R (flip) October 11, 2025

District 36

[edit]

The 36th district encompasses parts of Southeast Texas, including the Clear Lake region. The incumbent is Republican Brian Babin, who was re-elected with 69.4% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Jonathan Mitchell, pipeline worker and candidate for this district in 2024[290]

Potential

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brian Babin (not declared)
Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Babin (R) $512,678 $394,893 $763,987
Source: Federal Election Commission[291]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe R October 11, 2025

District 37

[edit]

The 37th district is based in Austin and its suburbs, including Wells Branch and Steiner Ranch. The incumbent is Democrat Lloyd Doggett, who was re-elected with 75.9% of the vote in 2024.[9] On August 21, 2025, Doggett announced that he would not seek re-election due to mid-decade redistricting, and fellow Democratic Rep. Greg Casar being moved into the 37th district.[293] On August 25, 2025, he announced his bid for re-election from this district.[283] Due to the court's ruling as "racially unconstitutional", Casar was reinstated back into the 35th district and Doggett is the lone politician in the 37th district; making him run for re-election.[5][294]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Dillon Fleharty, realtor[295]
  • Soren Pendragon, socialist activist[296]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Greg Casar
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor Unions
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Casar (D) $762,736 $365,636 $767,938
Source: Federal Election Commission[300]

Republican primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Ge'Neill Gary, former Albany city councilwoman[301]
  • Lauren Peña, paralegal[302]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ge'Neill Gary (R) $1,042 $524 $519
Lauren Peña (R) $29,869 $28,194 $1,675
Source: Federal Election Commission[300]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid D March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Safe D October 11, 2025

District 38

[edit]

The 38th district is based in the north and northwest Harris County Houston suburbs such as Jersey Village, Cypress, Tomball, Katy, and Klein. The incumbent is Republican Wesley Hunt, who was re-elected with 62.9% of the vote in 2024.[9]

Republican primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Jon Bonck, mortgage leader (previously ran in the 2nd district)[30]
  • Shelley DeZevallos, small business owner[30]
  • Barrett McNabb, U.S. Army veteran[30]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Damien Mockus, personal trainer[303]
  • Jeff Yuna, pawnshop owner[304]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jon Bonck
U.S. senators

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jon Bonck (R) $492,041 $111,162 $380,879
Barrett McNabb (R) $228,122 $120,475 $107,647
Source: Federal Election Commission[307]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Curtis Cook II, political consultant[309]
  • Theresa Courts, high school counselor[310]
  • Melissa McDonough, realtor and nominee for this district in 2024[311]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Theresa Courts (D) $370 $106 $264
Marvalette Hunter (D) $73,174 $18,530 $54,644
Melissa McDonough (D) $19,966 $10,111 $32,555
Source: Federal Election Commission[307]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R February 6, 2025
Inside Elections[21] Solid R March 7, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 18, 2025
Race to the WH[23] Likely R October 11, 2025

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^
  3. ^ Butler and Van Emmert with 1%; Wilmer with 0%
  4. ^ County executive
  5. ^ Morales with 4%; Allen with 2%; Cortez with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Cain's campaign
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.S. House of Representatives

References

[edit]
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